Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Scenes from the June jobs report: a weak but improving economy

– by New Deal democrat There’s no important new economic news today, so let’s take a somewhat deeper dive into last Thursday’s employment report for June. To cut to the chase, this is of a piece of my “Big Picture” narrative from Friday in which I wrote that most of the signals suggest and economy coming […]

How Invisible Capital Gains Drive Extreme U.S. Wealth Concentration

“How Invisible Capital Gains Drive Extreme U.S. Wealth Concentration: Evidence from Balance-Sheet-Complete Haig-Simons Accounting” Steve Roth @ Wealth Economics A dominant economic fact of the past half century is the extreme and increasing concentration of U.S. wealth into the hands of ever-fewer people, families, and dynasties, and the corporations (including banks, insurers, major media companies, […]

The Trump slippery slope

My postdoc mentor used to say “We don’t compare ourselves to the worst, we compare ourselves to the best.” Does that aphorism apply in politics? “POLITICO REPORTED ON MONDAY AFTERNOON that Graham Platner’s ex-girlfriend said he “forced her to have sex with him nearly five years ago despite her repeated objections.” Immediately after the story […]

Quote of the day

“Guns don’t kill people. People kill people.” Well no shit, Sherlock. We want mandatory safety classes for people, not guns. We want more background checks of people, not guns. We want stricter negligence penalties imposed on people, not guns. If you’re stupid enough to think activists are pissed off at guns, you’re too stupid to […]

The economically weighted ISM indexes for June show continued growth, equipoise in employment, and still strong inflation at the producer level

 – by New Deal democrat The economically weighted ISM manufacturing + services indexes have become one of my favorite datapoints. In particular, in the past year they have been an excellent dashboard for the state of the US economy as a whole, both as a coincident and short leading indicator. Last summer they accurately suggested that […]

“the enemy of Republics is entrenched power”

The United States of America at 250: the enemy of Republics is entrenched power  – by New Deal democrat On America’s 250th anniversary, the state of the Republic is not good. Ten years ago, after the 2016 election, I embarked upon a reading journey, to seek an answer to the questions: are Republics fragile? Are they […]

“taking payment in yuan and using those yuan to buy Chinese goods”

Sounds like a strategy to me. Been to China multiple times. Interesting place to go. We would fly in Beijing. The plant manager’s vehicle along with two drivers would pick us up and take us to the plant in Tianjin. We would spend a few days there listening to the issues, taking notes, and discuss […]

Those Other People . . .

A couple of commentaries by Robert Reich. Some history on a new candidate that is different than what is usually picked. This World War II PSA Warned Us About Fascism – Robert Reich Robert Reich: I came across this Public Service Announcement produced by the U.S. government in 1945. It seems apt today, on the […]